November 13, 2024
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As Nigeria approaches the 2027 presidential election, the political landscape is charged with discussions about potential candidates. Governor Seyi Makinde of Oyo State stands out as a compelling contender, supported by a track record of governance characterized by empirical data and logical reasoning. His achievements in various sectors, combined with a clear contrast to the current APC administration’s challenges, position him favorably for both the PDP primaries and the general election.

Empirical Governance Record

Governor Seyi Makinde’s performance in Oyo State can be measured through specific indicators:

  1. Infrastructure Development:
    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reports a 30% increase in infrastructure projects in Oyo State since Makinde took office in 2019. Key projects include major road reconstructions that have improved connectivity, resulting in an average 15% reduction in travel times. This contrasts sharply with the APC-led federal government, which has faced criticism for a decline in road construction rates, as reported by the World Bank.
  2. Healthcare Access: The introduction of the Oyo State Health Insurance Scheme has led to a ”40% increase in healthcare access”, covering over 300,000 residents. In comparison, a recent survey indicates that 70% of Nigerians still lack access to basic healthcare services under the current federal administration, illustrating a significant gap in healthcare provision.
  3. Educational Advancements: Data from the National Education Data Survey (NEDS) reveals that Oyo State has improved primary school enrollment rates by 25% since Makinde’s administration began. Conversely, national data under the APC government shows a 10% decrease in secondary school enrollment rates, largely due to rising costs and inadequate funding.
  4. Economic Sustainability: One of Makinde’s notable achievements is the timely payment of salaries to state workers, maintained at 100% compliance throughout his tenure. This practice contributes to local economic stability, as evidenced by increased consumer spending in the region. In contrast, reports indicate that 40% of state workers in some regions under APC rule have experienced salary delays of up to three months.
  5. Student Support Initiatives: Makinde’s administration has launched scholarship programs benefiting over 5,000 students, aimed at reducing financial burdens and increasing higher education enrollment by 20%. In contrast, the APC government has struggled to implement effective nationwide educational support, contributing to rising dropout rates.
  6. Human Capital Development: The governor has prioritized vocational training and skill acquisition, with over 10,000 residents participating in these programs. This focus addresses unemployment and enhances economic productivity, contrasting sharply with the national youth unemployment rate of 33% under the APC administration.

Strategic Political Positioning

Makinde’s political strategy within the PDP enhances his candidacy, supported by empirical data:

  1. Party Loyalty and Unity: A poll by the African Polling Institute indicates that 65% of PDP members view Makinde favorably for fostering party unity. In contrast, only 40% of APC members express confidence in their leadership due to ongoing internal divisions.
  2. Regional Influence: The Southwest region accounts for approximately 15% of Nigeria’s total registered voters. Makinde’s prominence in this region has resulted in a 40% increase in party membership since 2021. Meanwhile, APC support in the region has declined, with a 20% decrease in voter registration linked to dissatisfaction with federal governance.
  3. Youth Engagement: With over 50% of Nigeria’s population under 30, engaging youth is critical. Makinde’s youth empowerment programs have led to a 35% increase in youth participation in governance initiatives. In contrast, a Gallup poll shows that 60% of respondents aged 18-30 express disillusionment with the current administration, largely due to unaddressed unemployment issues.

A Vision for Nigeria

Makinde’s vision for Nigeria is both ambitious and grounded in empirical reasoning:

  1. Economic Diversification: The World Bank projects that Nigeria could achieve 6% annual economic growth through diversification away from oil dependency. Makinde’s focus on agriculture and technology is supported by studies indicating that investments in these sectors could create millions of jobs. In contrast, the APC’s reliance on oil revenue has resulted in an average GDP growth rate of only 2% over the past three years.
  2. Security and Stability: Rising security challenges require effective leadership. Makinde’s proactive governance has resulted in a 20% decrease in crime rates in Oyo State. In comparison, the APC government has struggled with a 40% rise in violent incidents nationwide since 2021, as reported by the Nigeria Security Tracker.
  3. Good Governance and Accountability: Transparency International ranks Nigeria poorly in corruption perception, with the country falling to 150th out of 180 in the Corruption Perceptions Index. Makinde’s commitment to transparency and accountability enhances his appeal among citizens disillusioned by corruption and mismanagement.

In conclusion, as the 2027 presidential election approaches, Governor Seyi Makinde’s combination of empirical governance achievements, strategic political positioning, and an inspiring vision for Nigeria positions him as a formidable candidate for both the PDP primaries and the general election. His ability to connect with the electorate through data-driven policies and transparent governance establishes him not just as a candidate but as a viable alternative to the current administration’s challenges. In a time when the nation seeks transformative leadership, Seyi Makinde stands ready to answer that call, representing the aspirations of millions of Nigerians.

Wale Ajani writes from Abuja
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